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Rupert Hargreaves | Tuesday 23 February 2021 | More on: IAG
Boris Johnson’s announcement that the government will end all coronavirus restrictions in the summer was greeted with cheers by the vacation industry Visitor numbers to vacation websites rose sharply after yesterday’s announcement, as well as demand for travel stocks like the IAG share price (LSE: IAG) rose sharply
The announcement suggests that the travel industry could rebound in the second half of 2021, meaning that airlines like British Airways, which IAG is owned, may be able to start the recovery process with that in mind, I’ve got the course took a closer look at the IAG share in order to add it to my portfolio as a recreational game
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Yesterday’s announcement was a step in the right direction for the travel industry.Unfortunately, it won’t be able to make up for last year’s losses overnight, even if vacation bookings quickly return to 2019 levels, it could be years before the companies have paid off the debts they accumulated during the crisis
In some cases this liquidity is severely constrained For example, BA recently announced that it had increased liquidity by £ 2.5 billion by deferring its pension contributions and taking out another loan Under the terms of the pension agreement, the airline will not pay IAG any dividends before the end of 2023 in return for delaying deficit contributions.There are also dividend restrictions on the loan of 2 billion GBP received by the company
Before the pandemic, BA was the IAG’s cash cow These restrictions imply that the group will from now on receive limited distributions from its subsidiary, which could have an impact on the return on the IAG share price
This does not take into account the most optimistic scenario, however, if the aviation industry recovers faster than expected, BA may be able to refinance its loans, which could lift restrictions and allow the group to resume dividend payments to its parent company
The company could also benefit from the fact that one of its main competitors on the critical London-New York route, Norwegian, has withdrawn from the long-haul travel market Another competitor, Virgin, has also had to severely curtail operations due to solvency issues
So I think the company will face major challenges in the future, but there will also be opportunities
With all of these points, I am cautiously optimistic about the IAG stock’s price outlook, the worst could be behind the deal, it may take time for the group to recover to 2019 profitability levels, but the imminent threat to its survival seems to be over now
However, there is no guarantee that the IAG will be able to leave the worst behind in 2021 so I won’t be buying any stock for my portfolio today The company faces an uphill battle for recovery I believe there are better ways into that Invest in global economic recovery as this airline sinking into debt
If the pandemic has completely changed our lives forever, then they believe this stock, tucked away in tech-heavy NASDAQ, could be set for tremendous gains
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Rupert Hargreaves does not hold a position in any of the stocks mentioned The Motley Fool UK does not hold a position in any of the stocks mentioned. Views regarding the companies mentioned in this article are those of the author and may therefore differ from the official recommendations we see in Submit to our subscription services like Share Advisor, Hidden Winners and Pro We at The Motley Fool believe that by taking diverse insights into account, we make better investors
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IAG share price
World news – GB – Could IAG share price rise in 2021?